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Solid-state transformers

Solid-state transformers need protection equipment that works with them, as well as efficient conversion. In September Infineon and SolarEdge added fast solid-state fault isolation to a proposed high-voltage direct-current link from the grid to computing racks. This is a development programme, with no broad commercial revenue yet and no fixed date for utility grids to adopt it.

low conviction concept

Research snapshot · updated Nov 12, 2026

EV fast-charger + data center power chains drive most commercial SST volume

Tesla V4 Supercharger + ABB Terra DC + IONITY HPC + Electrify America Hyper deployments rely on an SST-class DC backbone for high-power efficiency. The bigger pull is the AI data-centre 800 VDC shift: NVIDIAs 800 VDC rack architecture tied to the 2027 Rubin/Kyber rollout is drawing SST products (TI architecture March 2026, Enphase IQ SST, DG Matrix Interport, Heron Link). These are real commercial deployments scaling through 2027. Grid applications remain pilots.

State of the art (2026)

Most current activity in solid-state transformers is aimed at power for AI data centres. Nvidia plans to move its racks to 800-volt DC distribution. It expects a compatible 800-volt power rack in the second half of 2026 and a power unit that serves a whole row of racks in 2027. These are Nvidia's plans, and 800-volt DC can be supplied by more than one kind of converter. In September 2026 Infineon and SolarEdge said they are adding fast solid-state fault protection to a proposed high-voltage DC path from the grid to the racks. That is a development programme. Wolfspeed, a major supplier of silicon carbide, came out of Chapter 11 in September 2025 with much less debt. Use on the utility grid is still at pilot scale.

Wolfspeed SiC supply continuity de-risked after Chapter 11 exit

Wolfspeed – the largest pure-play SiC substrate supplier and a key SST input – emerged from a prepackaged Chapter 11 on 29 September 2025, cutting roughly 70 per cent of debt (about $4.6bn) and pushing maturities to 2030. The acute 2025–2026 supply-continuity fear that hung over SST and EV-charger supply chains has eased, though SiC pricing and 200mm Mohawk Valley yield remain the variables that set SST cost economics.

Grid-edge SST stays pilot until cost compression below $2,000 per MVA

SST $3,000-5,000 per MVA in 2024-2025 vs iron-core ~$1,500 per MVA. Without 50% cost compression by 2028-2030, grid-edge MV/LV deployment stays pilot-scale. EPRI Solid State Transformer Initiative + DOE GMI Phase 2 + PG&E/Duke/Xcel pilots maintain technology readiness but not commercial deployment.

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Signal stack

Evidence stacked leading → lagging

9 signals
talent
research
patent
expert
operational
market

Technology-native KPIs

Metrics that predict trajectory, tracked over time

4 tracked
EV fast-charger + data center SST commercial volume
Wolfspeed financial state (post-Chapter 11)
SST cost premium vs iron-core
Grid-edge SST pilots

Landscape map

Who builds what, and who depends on whom

80 players · 6 layers

Catalyst calendar

Dated events that will move the position

6 ahead

Technology roadmap

Milestones on the path to maturity

8 milestones

Watchlists

Companies, people and papers, each with a condition for removing it

19 · 20
Companies · 19
People · 20

Decision frameworks

What our view means for your job

Locked
Public Equity
PE / VC
Corporate Leader

Thesis changelog

When our view changed, and why

9 updates

Change our mind

5 disconfirming conditions

You've read the verdict. The file is much deeper.

The full signal stack, technology-native KPIs tracked over time, the landscape of who depends on whom, the dated catalyst calendar, decision frameworks for every desk, live watchlists and a record of every time our view on Solid-state transformers has changed. All of it is in CanaryIQ.