New technology usually arrives later than announced. Power connections, chip factories, mines and drug trials take years, and announcements rarely allow for that. We work out how long each one is really taking and say when we expect it to arrive.
We read patents, research papers, company filings, funding rounds, regulatory decisions and what experts say in public, every day.
How the research fits together
We link each source to the technologies, companies and people it concerns. A research paper, the funding round that followed it and the rule that affects it then sit on the same page.
We follow patents, research papers, private investment, public markets, regulation, expert commentary and how widely a technology is used. We compare how much attention a technology gets with how much real progress it has made. Some get far more attention than their progress supports. Others make steady progress that few people notice.
For each technology we want to know three things. Who is doing the research, who is paying for it, and which rules will speed it up or slow it down. The answers go on the technology's page with their sources.
What you get
You do not get a feed of raw data. You get our view of each technology, the evidence for it, and the companies, researchers and regulators involved.
For each of 235 technologies we say where it stands now and where we think it is going, with the companies and people involved. From that research we publish predictions, and every past forecast stays on the record.
We write for investors, defence planners, government officials and people running businesses.
How we work
We give more weight to research, patents, money and policy than to how much a technology is talked about. We show the evidence behind each view so you can judge it yourself.
We say when we expect each thing to happen.
"We built CanaryIQ because the most important technology shifts are visible long before they are obvious, if you can connect the signals. That is the company we are building," says Simon Minton, founder.